的 Wednesday, happy results prejudice !
Question # 151: The value of real and indifference to the scientific operation method is Scott Lamb
This is the hump day of cognitive bias , and it is time to solve one of the difficult problems of becoming a brain like humans and having a brain like us: what to do when there is no enough meaning.
This is a problem of survival for us, because it is only very difficult for our real views: there are a lot of information in the world, but we can only perceive a small part of it. We need to make a decision from there work. This creates a hole in our psychological model, and our brain hates holes and will do everything that can fill them.
A special way we do is to forget that our current thinking cannot be perfectly mapped to the past or future. This pair of decision-making is particularly tricky-I want to introduce to you our children now, and the result prejudice : When we judge our decision quality based on the results, not the quality of decision-making (based on the available information we got at the time). A fast example: the founder who has crazy thoughts on the product; no matter what her thinking quality, if this is successful, then she is a genius, if the bomb is a failed person.
Why are you worried about results bias? Former Google's former chief decision -making scientist Cassie Kozyrkov has been widely described for many years, and believes that it is a particularly expensive cognitive bias and threatened our ability to "promote and retain the ability." When people are most afraid of things they can't control, this will lead to more conservative decisions.
What can you do? The following are three tips to reduce decision -making results :
- Try to make fewer decisions -this may mean establishing more structures or more frequently.
- Focus on your decision , not only the WHA T -Reserved Decision Diary to help you track the process
- Only make a good decision -this does not mean that the result is good!
话 Lightning: a word or below the great, recent medium stories
- Professor Soazig Le Bihan hopes to help all of our people 's meaning (not) to build better expectations -it is best to understand it as a complicated, collaborative, and occasional errors , trying to understand our complex world, Instead of some things, in all cases, it should provide pure, accurate and determined answers.
- The former founder and chief operating officer of mushroom company Smillhold Adam Demartino (Adam Demartino see one of the big business success achieved by Covid .
Your daily practical wisdom: nothing to do
Next time your schedule is free of ten minutes, if it is not for fast checking emails or browsing the latest headline news, you simply ... do nothing? Only one person is consistent with your thoughts, which has a great value -this is beneficial for creativity and lowering stress-therefore, trying to cultivate a small enterprise with nothing to do.
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Edited and produced by Harris Sockel & Carly Rose Gillis
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